{"id":13013,"date":"2021-05-14T10:00:20","date_gmt":"2021-05-14T15:00:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/?p=13013"},"modified":"2021-05-14T01:16:52","modified_gmt":"2021-05-14T06:16:52","slug":"790150-not-officially-a-magic-number-but-a-curious-one","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/2021\/05\/790150-not-officially-a-magic-number-but-a-curious-one\/","title":{"rendered":"790,150: Not officially a magic number, but a curious one"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>We have a lot of census-related numbers floating around right now, and each makes one piece of a puzzle, but it will be hard to put them all together until the granular data comes out later this year. Here&#8217;s what I DO know:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/data\/tables\/2020\/dec\/2020-apportionment-data.html\">OFFICIAL April 1, 2020 population<\/a> of Iowa is 3,192,046. This is<em> 30,000 greater<\/em> than the July 1, 2020 <em>estimate<\/em> of 3,163,561. The estimate is &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.census.gov\/programs-surveys\/popest\/about\/schedule.html\">without incorporation or consideration of the 2020 Census results<\/a>&#8221; but still, that&#8217;s a LOT.\n<ul>\n<li>That&#8217;s 798,011.5 per congressional seat. Anyone got a house straddling county lines?<\/li>\n<li>That&#8217;s officially 31,920 per state House seat (larger than 77 individual counties) and 63,841 per Senate seat.<\/li>\n<li>The 2020 estimates amount to 790,890\/31,636\/63,271.<\/li>\n<li>That&#8217;s a difference of\u00a07,121 per between estimates\/actuals per district \u2014 more than the populations of 12 counties. (Three more are under 8,000.)<\/li>\n<li>The 2020 county estimates released May 4 will be superseded when intercensal numbers come out in 2022.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>The fear of Iowa losing a seat in 2030 is far-fetched. In 2010, when Iowa went from five representatives to four, it had the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thegreenpapers.com\/Census10\/FedRep.phtml?sort=Hous#table\">third-most people per district<\/a> of states with more than one representative. One of the two with more, Oregon, is getting another seat for 2022. Iowa will have four people in the U.S. House in the 2030s.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>All that said, I can still make maps based on the data that doesn&#8217;t count \u2014 for entertainment purposes only, of course. Maps with those numbers (the estimates that will be voided in 2022) will come later, but I&#8217;ve already found one wacky circumstance.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/790150-twice-2.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-13015\" alt=\"790150-twice-2\" src=\"http:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/790150-twice-2.png\" width=\"485\" height=\"332\" srcset=\"https:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/790150-twice-2.png 485w, https:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/790150-twice-2-300x205.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 485px) 100vw, 485px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The BLUE counties plus Ida, Sac, and Monona = 790,150.\u00a0The RED counties plus Ida, Sac, and Monona\u00a0= 790,150.\u00a0This number is 740 less than the per-district division from the 2020 estimates, thus a functional number for the second iteration of my redistricting game. If I assign Boone County to the Blue Group and the other three to the Red Group, both will form districts that vary from the 2020 estimate ideal by less than 1000 \u2014 and look like plausible districts, to boot. This also means that the remaining 19 counties account for half the state&#8217;s population.<\/p>\n<p>Coming up with exactly\u00a0790,150 people through two almost completely different county combinations? That&#8217;s far out, man.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We have a lot of census-related numbers floating around right now, and each makes one piece of a puzzle, but it will be hard to put them all together until the granular data comes out later this year. Here&#8217;s what &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/2021\/05\/790150-not-officially-a-magic-number-but-a-curious-one\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[18,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13013","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-iowa-miscellaneous","category-maps"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13013","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13013"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13013\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13052,"href":"https:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13013\/revisions\/13052"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13013"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13013"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iowahighwayends.net\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13013"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}